IntegrityAnalysis

Evaluation of baseline data integrity in randomized controlled trials — the Carlisle–Shafer Monte Carlo method, as a tool for editors, reviewers, and investigators.

Launch IntegrityAnalysis →

What it does

The baseline table of a randomized controlled trial reports samples drawn from a single pre-treatment population, so the arm-to-arm variation of its means and counts is statistically predictable. Fabricated baseline data are routinely too similar across arms — the signature by which John Carlisle unmasked the Fujii fraud [1]. IntegrityAnalysis replays a submitted or published trial’s baseline table many thousands of times by Monte Carlo simulation, reproducing the printed rounding exactly, and reports one probability per trial: the chance that random allocation would produce baseline data at least as homogeneous as those reported [2, 3]. A small value is a screening signal that warrants scrutiny of the original data — it is never, by itself, a verdict of misconduct.

Using it

The user guide documents the method, the input formats, and the statistics in full.

Privacy: nothing you upload or enter is retained. The uploaded PDF or spreadsheet, any data typed into the table, and the analysis results are all purged when the session closes. No record of the analysis is kept, and no document content is ever sent to any third-party service — the analysis is deterministic and self-contained. Manuscripts under review remain confidential.

Launch IntegrityAnalysis →

References

  1. Carlisle JB. The analysis of 168 randomised controlled trials to test data integrity. Anaesthesia. 2012;67:521–537. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2044.2012.07128.x
  2. Carlisle JB, Dexter F, Pandit JJ, Shafer SL, Yentis SM. Calculating the probability of random sampling for continuous variables in submitted or published randomised controlled trials. Anaesthesia. 2015;70:848–858. doi:10.1111/anae.13126
  3. Carlisle JB. Data fabrication and other reasons for non-random sampling in 5087 randomised, controlled trials in anaesthetic and general medical journals. Anaesthesia. 2017;72:944–952. doi:10.1111/anae.13938